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Statistics

How deadly is Ebola? Fatality rate per strain

The case fatality rate (CFR) of Ebola averages around 50% and ranges from 25% to 90% depending on the virus strain and available care. Untreated Zaire Ebola is one of the deadliest known viral diseases — modern treatment can however reduce mortality to under 10%.

CFR per strain

Zaire (untreated)70–90%

Deadliest strain. Responsible for West Africa 2014.

Zaire (with treatment)25–35%

With Inmazeb or Ebanga and early IV care.

Sudan40–60%

No approved vaccine. Outbreaks in Uganda.

Bundibugyo~40%

Only two outbreaks (2007, 2012).

Taï Forest1 case, no death

Single case in 1994 (Ivory Coast), patient recovered.

Reston0% in humans

Does not cause disease in humans.

Comparison with other infectious diseases

For context — fatality rate alone says little without contagiousness (R0). Ebola is extremely deadly but hard to transmit; flu is mild but spreads rapidly.

Ebola Zaire (untreated)70–90%

Filoviridae, RNA virus

Marburg23–88%

Related filovirus

MERS~35%

Coronavirus from the Middle East

SARS (2003)~10%

Coronavirus

Avian flu H5N1~50% (rare)

Influenza A

COVID-19~1%

SARS-CoV-2 (early pandemic)

Seasonal flu~0.1%

Influenza A/B

What explains the difference?

  • Virus strain — Zaire is genetically more aggressive than Sudan or Bundibugyo.
  • Access to care — IV rehydration alone reduces mortality by ~20 percentage points.
  • Early diagnosis — starting monoclonal therapy within 4 days halves mortality.
  • Health status — malnutrition and co-infections (malaria, HIV) raise risk.

Frequently asked questions about Ebola mortality

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